For the eurozone as a whole, however, the research note concludes: "From an economic perspective, the best outcome would be a French victory" as it would boost confidence in one of the shakiest "core" eurozone nations.

Economists at UniCredit really went to town, feeding in macroeconomic data to complex mathematical models in a bid to predict the winner.

They calculated the worth of each individual team based on the transfer market value of their players and decided that the two semi-finals would be "genuine classics" pitting traditional rivals against each other.

"Portugal (338 million euros) against Spain (658 million euros) and Germany (459 million euros) against England (392 million euros)" was the final prediction.

德国经济学家为不断传来的欧债危机坏消息疲倦不已。今年欧洲杯开赛后，他们把自己的经济技巧应用于更加有趣的工作：预测欧洲杯冠军。

他们半开玩笑地使用多种经济模型进行预测，这些经济模型通常用于债券市场或信用违约掉期等复杂问题。多数经济学家经过预测得出结论称，西班牙队和德国队是夺冠热门。

德国德卡银行经济学家预测称，冠军来自于17个欧元区国家的可能性高达86%。这对于关心欧元区的人们来说是个好消息。

经济学家分析了过去四届欧洲杯的赛事结果，并将其输入到一个复杂的数学模型里，从而得出预测结果称，“和西班牙、荷兰一样，德国队是夺冠热门。”

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