1. 收购内容。内容对于苹果的平台而言,具有战略上的重大意义。但在苹果宏大的计划中,这只是业务里几乎没有意义的一部分。把苹果所有的内容、软件和服务(比如iCloud订阅服务)加起来,也只占苹果收入的6%。但客观地来说,苹果从所有充电器和其他配件上获取的收入也仅占内容、软件、服务三者创造的总收入的50%。
Some people think Apple should buy Netflix (NFLX). On paper it makes sense: $10 billion market cap, deals with lots of content owners, a nascent library of Netflix developed content and a happy/loyal consumer base. But it makes less sense to me. Consumers love Netflix because they can get it on all kinds of hardware devices (TVs from many makers, game consoles, tablets, etc.) and content owners deal with Netflix because they don't want iTunes to dominate digital video as it has digital music. Apple could buy Walt Disney Co. (DIS) instead (~$98B mkt cap) and own a vast library of content and the "infrastructure" to develop more (ABC/ESPN, movie studios, etc.). It would probably divest theme parks, but the rest of Disney would give Apple an incredible platform to rethink video at home in an on-demand world. It also would transform the company by making meaningful profits on content in addition to hardware. Time Warner (TWX) would be the other logical choice in this vector.
一些人认为苹果应该收购网飞(Netflix)。理论上看这很合理:网飞的市值达到100亿美元,与大量内容所有者有业务来往,拥有一个存有已开发内容的数据库,还有令人愉快且忠心的顾客基础。但这个设想在我看来则不是那么合理。顾客喜爱网飞的原因是他们可以将它应用于所有硬件设备上(多家制造商的电视机、游戏机和平板电脑等),而内容所有者愿意与网飞合作,是因为他们不希望iTunes在统治数字音乐之后再统治数字视频领域。苹果可以转而收购迪斯尼(Walt Disney Co.,市值980亿美元),并拥有内容丰富的巨大数据库和“基础设施”以开发更多产品(ABC/ESPN频道、电影制片厂等)。迪斯尼主题公园可能需要出让,但是迪斯尼的其余部分能够给苹果提供难以置信的平台,以重新思考如何在这个随需应变的世界发展家庭视频业务。它还可以在硬件之外,从内容上获取有意义的利润,促使公司转型。根据这个思路,时代华纳(Time Warner)也是这个领域不错的收购对象。
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