2017年七大不靠谱的商业预测_BEC初级作文

2017年七大不靠谱的商业预测

眼看一年又要过去了，在总结2013年的同时还有更多人在计划着2017、预测着2017。关于2017年的商业社会里会有哪些值得注意的新动向？本文作者提出了自己的看法。

Whenever I talk to people about the future, I'm struck by their belief that it is knowable. The impression I get is that most people imagine the future like a book ending: already written and readable if you can just steal a quick look at the last few pages. What they find difficult is accepting that the pages aren't written yet. The future hasn't happened, hasn't even been planned--and cannot be known because it doesn't exist.

每次我跟人说起“未来”，我都被他们对“未来是可知”的这一想法吓到。我的印象就是，大部分人都想象未来像书本一样，有一个结局：已经写好了、也可以读取。你只要快速地窥一眼这本书的最后几页就能知道。他们很难接受这最后几页根本没有写完。未来还没有发生、也没有计划好——也无法预知，因为它们还根本不存在。

So I don't know what will happen in 2017--and neither does anyone else. What I imagine, though, looks like this:

所以我不知道2017会发生什么——谁也不知道。但在我的想象中，它会是这样的：

2017年七大不靠谱的商业预测1

1. Technausea.

科技厌恶症。

Today's and tomorrow's technology sits on top of multiple layers, every one of which is changing and has to inter-operate with others. This makes our gadgets, the internet of things, phones and laptops unstable. And it makes consumers irritated. How many of your apps actually work--and actually make life easier, faster or more fun? I'd expect to see consumer cynicism grow, as delight is overtaken by disappointment. This will put pressure on hardware and software developers to deliver that most boring of qualities: reliability.