Yale University professor best known for his early, accurate prediction that U.S. house prices were a bubble just waiting to burst, has long worked at the intersection of psychology and economics. He recently shared the Nobel in economics for insights into why prices of stocks and houses fluctuate as they do, particularly work showing that markets move too much to be explained by rational investors responding to changing fundamentals.
耶鲁大学教授罗伯特・席勒(Robert Shiller)长期以来都在从事心理学和经济学的交叉研究,他因很早就准确预测到美国房价是即将破裂的泡沫而名声大噪。他最近与人共同分享了诺贝尔经济学奖,因他对股票和房屋价格波动进行了深入研究,尤其是他研究发现,市场波动幅度如此巨大,已经无法解释为这是理性投资者对基本面变化作出反应的结果。
Once lauded as both a 'poet and plumber' or, someone who articulates radical new visions and installs the infrastructure needed to implement them-Shiller also has helped develop new financial products and indexes. He recently met with David Wessel, a contributing correspondent to the Journal and director of the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institution. Their edited remarks follow:
席勒曾享有“诗人兼管道工”的美誉──或者说,一个清晰描绘激进的新愿景并为落实这些愿景而构建基础设施的人──他还帮助开发了新的金融产品和指数。席勒最近会见了《华尔街日报》的特约记者、布鲁金斯学会(the Brookings Institution)哈钦斯财政金融政策中心(the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy)主任戴维・韦塞尔(David Wessel),他们之间谈话编辑如下:
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