“从(PMI数据中的)新订单分类指数看,没有很多迹象显示经济形势出现起色,彼得森国际经济研究所(Peterson Institute for International Economics)经济学家、中国经济专家尼古拉斯·拉迪(Nicholas Lardy)表示。“前一阵大家都在说局面会在第二季度反弹,现在多数全球性银行则在预计第三季度将出现反弹,但我对这种情形的发生几率信心不大。
Mr Lardy said a major slowdown in China’s overheated real estate market has not yet fed through to the wider economy but when that happens the economy is likely to slow further in spite of government stimulus attempts.
拉迪表示,中国过热的房地产市场的显著放缓,尚未影响到整体经济,但当这种影响最终传递到整体经济时,中国经济很可能会进一步放缓——尽管政府采取种种刺激措施。
Beijing has signaled that it intends to increase targeted infrastructure spending on things like public utilities and rail system expansion but the government is wary of launching another massive stimulus like the one in 2010.
北京方面已发出信号表明,它有意增加有针对性的基础设施建设支出,比如对公用事业和铁路系统扩建的投入,但政府不愿像2010年时那样推出又一轮大规模刺激。
The flood of liquidity and the building boom it unleashed then led to countless inefficient investments across the country, particularly in residential real estate and grand infrastructure projects that are now weighing on local government finances and the balance sheets of state banks.
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2020-09-15
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