Physical distancing measures may need to be in place intermittently until 2022, scientists have warned in an analysis that suggests there could be resurgences of Covid-19 for years to come.
科学家在一项分析报告中警告称,间歇性的隔离措施可能需要持续到2022年。这项报告指出,未来几年,新冠疫情可能会卷土重来。
The paper, published in the journal Science, concludes that a one-time lockdown will not be sufficient to bring the pandemic under control and that secondary peaks could be larger than the current one without continued restrictions.
这份发表在《科学》期刊上的研究报告得出结论说,一时的封锁将不足以控制全球性流行病,如果没有持续的限制措施,第二次疫情高峰可能会比目前这次更严重。
One scenario predicted a resurgence could occur as far in the future as 2025 in the absence of a vaccine or effective treatment.
该研究的一次场景模拟预测,在没有疫苗或有效治疗方法的情况下,新冠肺炎疫情可能会在2025年再度袭来。
Marc Lipsitch, a professor of epidemiology at Harvard and co-author of the study, said: "Infections spread when there are two things: infected people and susceptible people. Unless there is some enormously larger amount of herd immunity than we're aware of ... the majority of the population is still susceptible.
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