Researchers analysed the latest data from the state's complex system of active geologicalfaults, as well as new methods for translating these data into earthquake likelihoods.
研究人员对美国加利福尼亚州活跃又复杂的地质断层系统进行分析,并采用新方法,将数据转换成地震几率。
The estimate for the likelihood that California will experience a magnitude 8 or larger earthquake in the next 30 years has increased from about 4.7% to about 7.0%, they say.
结果表明加州在未来30年发生8级或以上地震的可能性从4.7%上升到了7%。
'We are fortunate that seismic activity in California has been relatively low over the past century,' said Tom Jordan, Director of the Southern California Earthquake Center and a co-author of the study.
该项研究的作者之一、南加州地震中心主任汤姆·乔登说:“过去100年间,加州地震活动相对较低,实属幸运。
'But we know that tectonic forces are continually tightening the springs of the San Andreas fault system, making big quakes inevitable.
“但我们知道,地球陆地板块力量一直在绷紧圣安地列斯断层系统,这让大规模的地震无可避免。
'The UCERF3 model provides our leaders and the public with improved information about what to expect, so that we can better prepare.'
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