Listen to older people who have experienced catastrophes. Taleb notes that elephant tribes often rely on elderly females to assess threats.
听听经历过灾难的老人的意见。塔勒布指出,象群经常依靠老年母象来评估威胁。
Be conservative. Many Americans hope Trump will “shake things up”. As Noam Chomsky says, the risk is that he will. Often it’s smarter to maintain a flawed status quo. In Taleb’s words: “Don’t mess with complex systems, because we don’t understand them.”
保持谨慎。许多美国人希望,特朗普将“改变现状”。正如诺姆?乔姆斯基(Noam Chomsky)所说,风险就在于他会这么做。很多时候,更明智的做法是维持有缺陷的现状。用塔勒布的话说:“不要乱碰复杂的系统,因为我们不懂。”
Stock markets hit all-time highs after Trump’s election. What could possibly go wrong?
特朗普当选之后,股票市场创下历史新高。可能是哪里出错了呢?
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