“We are a little sceptical of this idea and we think it will require more stimulus from the RBA, says Saul Eslake, economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, who says annual GDP growth will slow from 3.5 per cent this year, to 2.3 per cent in 2013. “There will be a loss of momentum and we don’t think some of these workers will find new jobs. That’s why we’ve got the unemployment rate rising to 5.9 per cent next year.
美银美林(Bank of America Merrill Lynch)的经济学家索尔·埃斯雷克(Saul Eslake)表示:“我们对于澳大利亚经济转型持怀疑态度,我们认为澳大利亚央行有必要出台更多的经济刺激措施。埃斯雷克预计,澳大利亚今年GDP增速将放缓至3.5%,并将于2013年进一步放缓至2.3%。他指出:“澳大利亚的经济增长将失去动力,我们认为矿产领域的一部分失业工人将找不到新的工作。这也是我们认为明年澳大利亚的失业率将升至5.9%的原因。
For Australia’s minority Labor government the stakes are high. An election will be held next year and it has staked its reputation on returning the budget to a slim surplus, something that will be difficult to achieve unless commodity prices pick up.
对澳大利亚的少数派工党政府来说,这个问题关系重大。明年澳大利亚将举行大选,工党已经承诺将使财政预算恢复到少量盈余状态,但除非大宗商品价格走势好转,这个目标很难实现。
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