After each Presidential election, The National Intelligence Council (NIC), the Washington, D.C., agency that provides long-term strategic analysis to America's intelligence community, releases a report on security risks. Its newest report, issued on December 10th and called Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds, covers many topics from cross-border conflict to terrorism to regional economic collapse.
每次总统大选结束后,位于华盛顿特区的美国国家情报委员会(The National Intelligence Council,NIC)都会发布一份关于安全风险的报告,为美国情报界提供长期战略分析。该委员会于12月10日发布了最新报告《2030年全球趋势:不一样的世界》(Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds),其中涉及跨边境冲突、恐怖主义和区域经济崩溃等诸多话题。
One theme in particular that stands out this year is the coming food and water crisis in China. According to the report, climate change coupled with China's move toward urbanization and middle class lifestyles will create huge water demand and therefore crop shortages by 2030. As the report states: "Water may become a more significant source of contention than energy or minerals out to 2030."
其中有一个主题尤为引人注意,即中国可能面临的粮食与水资源危机。报告称,气候变化,加上中国的城市化进程和中产阶级生活方式的兴起,至2030年,中国将产生巨大的用水需求以及伴随而来的粮食短缺。报告中写道:“到2030年,水将成为比能源或矿产更为抢手的资源。”
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