Ask a currency trader in today’s market how the US dollar is likely to react to positive news on the economy and the response is likely to be a blank stare.
如果问一名当前汇市上的外汇交易员,经济利好的消息很可能对美元产生什么影响,对方很可能一脸茫然。
Just as the forex market has managed to wash its hands of the confusing question of how to trade the euro, a new conundrum has reared its head. The US dollar now has the dubious honour of being the currency that is the most difficult to predict, after defying expectations that it would get weaker when the Federal Reserve launched its third round of monetary easing, or QE3.
外汇市场刚刚摆脱了如何交易欧元这个令人困惑的问题,一个新的难题就抬头了。市场普遍预期,在美联储(Federal Reserve)推出第三轮量化宽松政策(QE3)之后,美元将贬值,但美元的实际走势打碎了这种预期,美元得以荣膺“最难预测货币头衔。
“People have turned from euro speculation to dollar speculation since QE3 but that’s not working out as they hoped – people aren’t getting bang for their bucks, says Richard Usher, JPMorgan’s head of spot forex trading in London.
摩根大通(JPMorgan)伦敦即期外汇交易主管理查德·厄舍(Richard Usher)表示:“QE3出台之后,人们从投机欧元转向投机美元,但没有达到预期效果,他们没有赚到大钱。
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