来自帝国理工学院的赛斯·弗拉克斯曼博士说:“封锁措施避免了数百万人死亡,否则,这些人的死亡将会是悲剧。”
Their equations made several assumptions, which will affect the figures.
他们的运算方式做了几个可能会影响数据的假设。
They assume nobody would have changed their behaviour in response to the Covid threat without a lockdown - and that hospitals would not be overwhelmed resulting in a surge in deaths, which nearly happened in some countries.
他们假设在没有实行封锁的情况下,没有人会改变自身行为来应对疫情,并假设不会因医院不堪重负而导致死亡率暴增,而这一情形在一些国家差点发生了。
The study also does not take into account the health consequences of lockdowns that may take years to fully uncover.
这项研究也没有将封锁对健康的影响考虑在内,这些影响可能要等多年过后才会完全显现。
The model also predicted that the outbreak would be nearly over by now without lockdown, as so many people would have been infected.
该模型还预测,如果没有封锁措施,疫情可能已经接近尾声,因为很多人都已经被感染。
More than seven in 10 people in the UK would have had Covid, leading to herd immunity and the virus no longer spreading.
在这种假设下,英国百分之七十以上的人都已感染新冠病毒,结果就是群体免疫,病毒也不再传播。
【研究:欧洲的封锁措施已拯救了320万人】相关文章:
★ 狼与鹤
最新
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15