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埃博拉疫情早有预警

另有三篇发表于1986年的论文显示，在利比里亚西北部，距离该国与塞拉利昂及几内亚边境不远的地方，埃博拉抗体的携带率分别为10.6%、13.4%和14%。上述文章，以及那些发表于20世纪80年代的被遗忘的有关邻国塞拉利昂和几内亚的埃博拉抗体携带率的报告都说明，可能存在一些人所说的“避难所，也就是持续携带潜藏的埃博拉病毒的人体。

There is an adage in public health: “The road to inaction is paved with research papers. In atwist of fate, the same laboratory that confirmed the first positive Ebola test results in Guinealast year, the Pasteur Institute, was the publisher of Annals of Virology. Yet the institute’s April2014 report said, “This subregion was not considered to be an area in which EBOV wasendemic (using the medical term for the Ebola virus).

公共卫生领域有一条格言：“通往无所作为的道路上铺满了研究报告。命运弄人的是，去年确认几内亚第一例检测结果为阳性的埃博拉病例的实验室——巴斯德研究所(Pasteur Institute)——正是《病毒学年鉴》的出版方。然而，这家研究所在2014年4月发表的报告称，“该分区并未被认为是埃博拉病毒的流行区。

Part of the problem is that none of these articles were co-written by a Liberian scientist. Theinvestigators collected their samples, returned home and published the startling results inEuropean medical journals. Few Liberians were then trained in laboratory or epidemiologicalmethods. Even today, downloading one of the papers would cost a physician here $45, abouthalf a week’s salary.