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无人驾驶汽车离你有多近

Informed conversations about self-driving cars nolonger are about feasibility. New key talking pointsare "When?" and "Which automakers first?" and"Who will be responsible when an accident happens?"

消息灵通人士关于自动驾驶汽车的深谈已经与可行性无关了，现在大家关注的焦点是“什么时候上市?，“哪家汽车厂商会首先推出这种车?以及“如果发生事故，责任到底在哪方?

Nissan has said it will sell a driverless car by 2020.IHS forecast several models available by 2025.Both of these are guesses -- but they indicate howfast the technology is progressing.

日产汽车(Nissan)已经表示将于2020年销售无人驾驶汽车。IHS咨询公司预计，到2025年，市场将推出好几款此类车型。这两个消息都有猜测的性质——但它们表明，这项技术的发展是何等神速。

What seemed unimaginable a decade ago becomes more practical, comprehensible, and realby the day. Google's (GOOG) self-driving Toyota Prius (TM) has logged hundreds of thousandsof miles without incident on California roads. Most automakers are testing self-driving cars ontracks and -- lately, as I experienced earlier this week in Las Vegas -- in traffic.

十年前还显得那么不可思议的事情现在已经变得十分可行，可以理解，而且无比真实了。谷歌(Google)那辆自动驾驶丰田普锐斯(Toyota Prius)已经在加州的公路上安全行驶了上万英里，没有出过任何事故。大多数汽车厂商正在赛道上测试自动驾驶汽车，同时——最近，正如我本周初在拉斯维加斯体验的——也在真实路况中开展这种测试。

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★ 百年鹰童军

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