对于西方来说,目前没有现成的应对办法。
Useful lessons can be drawn from the cold war — particularly about the importance of things such as predictable and calibrated responses —
西方国家可以从冷战中吸取有益教训——特别是有关可预测的标准化回应策略的重要性。
and diplomats and strategists need to relearn some of the old rules for managing great power relations.
同时,外交官和策略家需要重新学习一些有关管理大国关系的老规矩。
But, pace Mr Putin, Russia is not the Soviet Union.
但是,尊敬的普京先生,俄罗斯不是苏联。
What the US and its allies can usefully do is establish principles to frame a reset grounded in realism.
美国及其盟友可以采取的有效办法是,确立一些原则,拟定一项务实的重启战略。
They should start with resolve, consistency, engagement and respect.
首先要从四点做起:决心、一致性、接触和尊重。
Resolve is the most important.
决心是最重要的一点。
Mr Putin is an opportunist rather than a grand strategist, a leader looking to probe and test the weaknesses of adversaries.
普京是机会主义者,而不是大战略家,他伺机试探着敌人的弱点。
The west’s mistake has been to worry that deterrence could be seen as provocation.
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