因此,德国的一意孤行会带来很大的麻烦。问题不在安格拉·默克尔(Angela Merkel)身上,她本人在德拉吉和魏德曼的对立中采取了中立态度。问题在于舆论的转变。德国公众已认同了一种观点,即这场危机的罪魁祸首是南部欧洲挥霍无度的政客和消费者,他们沉迷于一场债务支持的房地产和消费热潮,荒废了加入欧元区后的第一个十年。这是一个错误的道德论断——主要是在经济上站不住脚。但这没有妨碍它成为占主导地位的观点。没有足够多的政界人士——当然也没有足够多的记者和评论人士——大力驳斥过这一观点。默克尔在危机管理中犯下的最大错误就是未能控制这一观点的蔓延,或推出自己的观点。她坚决反对欧元区债券和存款保险的态度,甚至强化了这个观点。
The same narrative will almost certainly have influenced the German Constitutional Court, which is due to announce its ruling on the ESM on Wednesday. Mr Weidmann also gave a very critical assessment of the ESM in his deposition to the court in July. I would caution readers not to take the court’s decision for granted. While I do not have the foggiest idea what the court will say, I am certain the ruling will not be based on, or even influenced by, fears of a negative market reaction, as so many commentators keep insisting it will be.
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