The big story of 2012 has been the refusal of the euro zone to collapse, much to the frustration of those who bet heavily or staked their professional credibility on its demise.
欧元区免于解体可谓是2012年的一件大事。而对那些大举押注欧元区解体、甚至不惜赌上自己职业信誉的人来说,这无疑令他们感到格外失望。
It's amazing when one thinks back one year just how widely held was this belief in imminent eurogeddon. Many senior bankers, particularly in London and Frankfurt, privately believed Greece would be out of the euro in 2012; the chairman of the Royal Bank of Scotland even said so publicly.
就在一年前,有关欧元区即将解体的看法还获得了普遍的支持,现在回过头去看未免会觉得不可思议。许多资深银行家,特别是那些在伦敦和法兰克福的银行家私下里都认为希腊将会在2012年退出欧元区。苏格兰皇家银行(Royal Bank of Scotland)的董事长甚至公开表达了这一观点。
At the Bank of England, some officials were convinced the euro would break up last Christmas and the BOE continued to assume a euro collapse for most of this year. Bearish economists such as Nouriel Roubini and Citigroup's Willem Buiter, who coined the term Grexit for a Greek euro exit, were feted like celebrities. Anyone who stood against this tide of conventional wisdom was assumed to be a starry-eyed europhile.
英国央行(Bank of England)的一些官员曾确信欧元区会在去年圣诞节解体,而英国央行今年大部分时间也都继续持欧元区会解体的观点。鲁比尼(Nouriel Roubini)和花旗集团(Citigroup)的布伊特(Willem Buiter)等看空欧元区的经济学家曾为希腊退出欧元区创造了“希腊退欧(Grexit)一词,他们获得了明星般的追捧。任何不认同这一普遍看法的人都被认为是过分乐观的“恋欧癖者。
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