America’s changing demographics and the politics surrounding them present a big strategic dilemma for the Republicans. One leading party strategist argues that the 2012 presidential election already comes down to a battle between economics and demographics. A weak economy and high unemployment favours the Republicans. But demographic trends favour the Democrats. The increasing Hispanic vote means three states George W.?Bush won in 2004 – Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico – are leaning towards Mr Obama.
美国不断变化的人口格局和与之相关的政治活动,为共和党人带来了重大战略难题。一位共和党高级战略家认为,2012年大选可归结为经济与人口之争。经济疲软和失业率高企对共和党有利,但人口变化趋势却对民主党有利。2004年乔治·W·布什(George W. Bush)曾在内华达州、科罗拉多州和新墨西哥州凯旋,但拉丁裔选民数量增加意味着这三州将倒向奥巴马。
California, the largest state in the union and the home state of Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan, voted Republican in every presidential election from 1968 to 1988. But the Democrats have won it since 1992 and Mr Obama is safely ahead there. Many trace the change in the state’s allegiance to the Republicans’ increasingly strident attacks on illegal immigration.
加利福尼亚州是美国人口第一大州,也是理查德·尼克松(Richard Nixon)和罗纳德·里根(Ronald Reagan)的故乡。加州在1968至1988年间每次都将选票投给了共和党,但1992年之后民主党在这里逢战必胜,目前奥巴马也牢牢占据主动。很多人认为,共和党对非法移民的攻击愈加刺耳,是该州倒戈的原因。
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