Many younger Japanese leaders would like to change this pattern. When I asked about the rightward trend in politics, some young Diet members said they hoped it might produce a realignment among political parties that would lead to greater longevity of prime ministers and more effective government. If a moderate nationalism is harnessed to produce political reform, and the election produces such a realignment, the results could be good for Japan. The danger, however, is that the nationalist mood leads to symbolic and populist positions that win votes at home but antagonise Japan’s neighbours.
许多较为年轻的日本领导人想要改变这种模式。当我问及日本政治上的右翼倾向时,一些年轻的国会议员表示,他们希望这会促使各政党重新洗牌、结盟,从而带来任职更长的首相和更有效的政府。如果利用温和的民族主义来推动政治改革,而此次选举能够促成此类洗牌,结果可能有利于日本。然而,危险在于,民族主义情绪所导致的象征性的民粹立场,可能在国内赢得选票,却会激怒日本的邻国。
China is undergoing its own nationalist resurgence, and the Communist party relies for its legitimacy not on elections but on a combination of high economic growth and nationalism. Hawks benefit. For example, General Liu Yuan argues that China should cast aside restraint, and Major General Luo Yuan urges the dispatch of hundreds of fishing boats to fight a maritime guerrilla war to seize territories claimed by China. Such positions may not be typical, but the danger is that extreme nationalists in China and Japan will feed each other and create a climate that makes it difficult to maintain the prosperity that has been so beneficial to the region and to the world.
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