If this were to happen, the UK might consider a number of radical options. True, it might stay inside, as it is. It might also seek to move into the European Economic Area. This would deprive it of a vote in decisions on the single market but it might believe that, by then, its vote would count for nothing, anyway. If this could be agreed – a big if, since the existing members are small countries such as Iceland, Norway and Lichtenstein – this would spare the UK the costs of membership of the common agricultural policy and put it outside the common fisheries policy, both of which are potentially highly popular. However, the UK would continue to contribute to costs associated with the single market. If even this were too onerous, it might rejoin the European Free Trade Area, with Switzerland, thereby putting it outside the single market. Beyond that, it could leave everything and stand on its rights in the World Trade Organisation. Choosing among these alternatives and then negotiating over them with the members would be quite a business.
如果发生这种情况的话,英国可能将考虑采取激进措施。的确,它或许会维持现状,留在欧盟。它也可能寻求加入欧洲经济区(European Economic Area)。这样会使英国失去对单一市场的决策投票权,但英国到时或许会认为自己的一票已经无关大局。如果能经过协商达成这样的结果——这是一个很大的假设,因为欧洲经济区的现有成员是冰岛、挪威和列支敦士登这样的小国家——那么英国将不必再承受共同农业政策相关的负担,也将置身共同渔业政策之外,这两件事可能将深得民心。不过,英国仍将承担与单一市场有关的成本。如果即便这种负担也过于沉重的话,英国可能会重新加入成员国包括瑞士的欧洲自由贸易区(European Free Trade Area),从而置身单一市场之外。此外,它可能离开所有组织,坚持自己在世贸组织(WTO)中的权利。选择一条出路,并与相关组织的成员进行磋商,将是一项不轻的任务。
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