Analysts expect China’s copper demand to grow by 4 per cent this year, yet that figure ispredicated on considerable use in power grid investment, based on announced governmentspending plans.
分析师们预计,今年中国铜需求将增长4%,但这一预测的前提是,依据政府方面公布的开支计划,铜在电网投资上的使用量相当可观。
Power grid investment fell by 8.65 per cent in April, according to SMM, a China-based metalsconsultancy. In the first four months, China completed Rmb86.6bn of grid investment, 20 percent of the planned amount for the year, it said. Last year, only 88.7 per cent of gridinvestment was completed.
中国金属咨询机构——上海有色金属网(SMM)数据显示,今年4月电网投资下降了8.65%。该机构表示,今年头4个月,中国完成电网投资866亿元人民币,为全年计划投资额的20%。去年,电网计划投资额仅完成了88.7%。
A fall in copper stocks in warehouses tracked by the Shanghai Futures Exchange in April andMay, which was taken as a sign of better demand, may also not have gone to end users,according to analysts.
4月和5月,上期所(SHFE)所追踪的仓库的铜库存有所减少,这被当做是需求改善的标志。但分析师认为,需求或许也没有流向最终用户。
“The evolution of China’s demand conditions remains the crucial issue for sentiment towardsthe complex in mid-2015, and neither the micro nor macro evidence for May suggests animprovement in this dynamic, Standard Chartered wrote in a note.
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