还有人认为,推动人民币国际化只是一种“特洛伊木马式的改革。也就是说,中国的改革者并非将人民币国际化作为最终目的,而只是推行更多市场改革的托辞。这个说法有一定的道理,因为人民币国际化需要改善中国尚处于初级阶段的金融市场,并从根本上解除其资本管制措施。
Let's understand what these reforms really are. If we delve into them, we find that they are useful for their own sake, and not just as preconditions for yuan internationalization:
让我们深入了解这些改革到底是怎么回事。深入探究之后,我们发现这些改革本身是有益的,而不仅仅是人民币国际化的前提条件:
· Liberalizing exchange rates. Several years of steady appreciation means that the yuan is near its equilibrium level. With the dollar and euro more volatile and China's trade prospects deteriorating, there is no clear pressure for the yuan to move either up or down. Now is a good time for China to expand the yuan trading band, furthering the goal of making the currency more responsive to market signals.
──汇率自由化。
经过多年稳步升值,人民币已经接近均衡水平。在美元和欧元波动性增加、中国贸易前景恶化的情况下,人民币没有明显的升值或贬值压力。现在是中国扩大人民币汇率波动区间、进一步提高人民币汇率对市场信号灵敏度的好时机。
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