但经济学家总体上预计,一旦飓风造成的失真消失,前段时间的趋势就有望恢复并延续。接受《华尔街日报》最新月度调查的45位经济学家预计,到明年6月,失业率将降至7.8%,2013年年底将降至7.5%。部分经济学家说,就业增长可能会摆脱现在的缓慢速度而加快。信安环球投资有限公司(Principal Global Investors)经济学家鲍尔(Bob Baur)说,我觉得到时候企业将必须招人。
Four factors should fuel the jobs recovery in 2013:
以下四个因素应该会对2013年的就业复苏起到推动作用:
Housing is finally recovering.
Home values are up 7% nationally through the first nine months of 2012, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index. Meanwhile, home-building is gaining traction, which means more jobs for construction workers, contractors and builders. Some 29,000 new construction jobs have been added since May. There's 'a significant thawing in labor conditions in the construction market,' notes Andrew Wilkinson, economist at Miller Tabak & Co. It's not just construction crews. Retailers who cater to Americans furnishing, repairing and improving their homes also will need to hire.
楼市终于出现反弹。
S&P/Case-Shiller指数显示,2012年前九个月全国房价上涨7%。与此同时,住宅建筑业正在发力,给建筑工人、承包商和建筑商带来了更多工作机会。5月份以来建筑工作增加了2.9万个左右。券商Miller Tabak & Co.经济学家威尔金森(Andrew Wilkinson)指出,建筑市场的就业环境已经明显解冻。解冻的不只是建筑业。为装修住宅的美国人提供服务的零售企业也将需要招人。
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