Less clear is the impact on Japan’s standing in the world. The Falklands war is inextricably associated with Thatcherism. The economic disasters of the 1970s caused Argentina to assume Britain lacked both resources and will to recapture a remote and valueless group of islands. Likewise the gap in the economic performance of China and Japan explains China’s growing assertiveness and raises questions about US commitment to Japanese interests.
这场争端会对日本的国际地位产生什么样的冲击,则更不容易看清。福克兰群岛战争与“撒切尔主义密不可分。20世纪70年代的经济灾难使阿根廷认为,英国既没有足够的资源、也没有足够的意愿去夺回一座遥远而毫无价值的群岛。同理,中日两国经济表现的差距解释了中国为何变得日益自信,并且使人们开始怀疑美国是否致力于保护日本的利益。
The lesson for Japan is that, if it wants to avoid unsplendid isolation, it needs to break out of its long deflationary malaise and recover growth momentum. That means bold use of fiscal and monetary policy, speedier restructuring of industries suffering from chronic overcapacity and a strategy to position Tokyo as a global hub of fashion, finance and design. Who knows – if the parallel with 1980s Britain holds, Japan might yet embark on a bull market.
如果日本不想陷入黯淡的孤立之中,那么它应该汲取的经验是:必须摆脱长期通缩顽疾,恢复增长势头。这意味着要大胆运用财政政策和货币政策,加快调整饱受长期产能过剩之苦的各个产业,树立把东京定位为全球时尚、金融和设计中心的战略。如果20世纪80年代的英国确实可供借鉴,说不定日本还有可能迎来牛市。
【中日之争与英阿冲突的异同】相关文章:
★ 人与同行的狮子
★ 投行的乱世机遇
最新
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15
2020-09-15