对中国多一些乐观的第二个原因是，有迹象表明，房地产开发商信心回升。我们最近针对中国5个大城市的30家房地产公司的市场调查显示，到2015年下半年，房地产业的低迷状况将有所改善，这对中国增长是个好兆头。自2010年起，我们每年进行两次这种调查。

Developers believe the excessive amount of inventory in lower-tier cities will be workedthrough by the second half of 2015. They also anticipate better appetite for land investmentamong their peers before the end of this year. This is good news, given the drag on GDPgrowth from the sector recently.

开发商认为，二三线城市的过多库存将在2015年下半年得到消化。它们还预测，在今年底之前房地产公司的土地投资兴趣将上升。鉴于房地产行业最近对GDP增长的拖累，这是个好消息。

Finally, our SME survey of over 600 companies across China showed a slight improvement insentiment in January from a low in December.

最后，我们对中国600多家中小企业的调查显示，1月的信心指数较12月低点略有上升。

The results indicate that this optimism is being supported by broad-based policy easing inChina. And, as we expect to see more monetary easing in the form of at least two morereserve requirement ratio cuts and a further lowering of policy rates, business confidencecould continue to improve.

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