Rex Nutting has some good news for Washington politicians about the fiscal cliff. “There’s no urgency to reach a deal quickly, he wrote in these columns last week. Although tax and spending laws will change on Jan. 1, 2013, the effects of these changes will be spread out over a longer period, he writes.
关于“财政悬崖,纳丁(Rex Nutting)有一些好消息要传达给华盛顿的政界人士。他在上周的专栏文章中写道,不用那么快达成协议,没那么急。他说,尽管有关税收和政府支出的法律将在2013年1月1日出现变更,但这些变更的影响将在更长一段时间内显现出来。
Reducing government spending won’t have much effect, it’s true. Government outlays have risen from 20% of GDP in 2008 to 25% in 2012. But increasing taxes by $514 billion next year will make America less competitive and slow the economy. More businesses will go offshore and make fewer investments. People will spend less because more is going to Uncle Sam. (See table of tax changes.)
缩减政府支出不会有多大效果,这没错。政府支出占国内生产总值(GDP)的比重已经从2008年的20%上升到2012年的25%。但是,明年增税5,140亿美元会降低美国的国际竞争力,拖累经济增速。将有越来越多的企业离开美国本土,同时将减少投资。美国人也会减少支出,因为有更多的收入被山姆大叔(Uncle Sam,即美国政府)拿走了。
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