So if you started from where I did, you cannot be optimistic. But then again, as an Irish saying goes, you might not start from here.
因此,如果你从我的观点出发,你就不可能乐观。但正如一句爱尔兰俗语所言,你可能不会从我的观点出发。
John McHale, economics professor at the National University of Ireland, Galway, has argued that official policy can restore financial health in a self-perpetuating solvency crisis, provided a number of conditions are met. He lists four. First, the liquidity support given through the European Central Bank’s Outright Monetary Transactions programme and other mechanisms must be reliable. Second, the conditions must be reasonable. Third, the conditionality must be flexible – unanticipated shocks should not trigger fiscal adjustments in future. Fourth, the link between banking sector losses and state debt must be broken.
爱尔兰国立高威大学(National University of Ireland,Galway)经济学教授约翰·麦克黑尔(John McHale)辩称,在自我存续的偿付危机中,倘若满足若干条件,官方政策能够恢复金融健康。他列出了4个条件。首先,通过欧洲央行(ECB)的直接货币交易(Outright Monetary Transactions,简称OMT)计划及其他机制提供的流动性支持必须可靠。其次,提供支持的条件必须合理。第三,条件限制必须灵活,意料之外的冲击不应引发未来的财政调整。第四,银行业亏损和政府债务之间的联系应被打破。
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