我们也认识到,由于国际环境复杂严峻、国内长期积累的深层次矛盾凸显,中国经济稳定运行的基础还不牢固。外需对增长的拉动力减弱,民间投资和制造业投资乏力,金融等领域存在风险隐患,一些产能严重过剩行业和经济结构单一地区矛盾较多,经济下行压力仍然较大,困难不可低估。我们正视困难、坦承困难,恰恰表明我们有决心克服困难、有能力战胜困难,中国经济希望始终大于困难。
We are also aware that given the complex and challenging international environment and the deep-seated domestic problems accumulated over the years, the foundation underpinning stable performance of the Chinese economy is yet to be strengthened. The driving effect of external demand on growth is waning. Private and manufacturing investments are sluggish. Latent risks still exist in the financial and other sectors. In some industries with serious overcapacity and regions with monotonous economic structure, there have been relatively more problems. Downward economic pressure remains and the difficulties are not to be underestimated. However, the fact that we have recognized and stood up to challenges shows that we have the determination and ability to overcome difficulties. For the Chinese economy, there is always more hope than difficulties.
当前中国经济发展的基本面没有改变,宏观政策也会保持连续性稳定性。我们将继续创新宏观调控方式,加力增效实施积极的财政政策,灵活适度实施稳健的货币政策,把资源更多引向有利于补短板、增后劲、上水平的领域,引向有利于促进转型升级等新经济的领域。现在,中国政府负债率40%左右,中央政府负债率16%左右,在世界主要经济体中是比较低的,实施积极的财政政策有空间;居民储蓄率高,发展多层次资本市场潜力大,完善金融调控手段、优化金融资源配置有很大余地,可以创造条件,运用市场化、法治化方式逐步降低企业杠杆率和融资成本。我们不仅有足够的政策工具保持经济运行在合理区间,而且有充分的能力防范住系统性区域性风险。在调整转型时期,中国经济增长短期难免有波动起伏,但不会出现“硬着陆”,我们能够实现全年经济社会发展主要预期目标。
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